A request to Anthony Morton the electoral officer for the Dunedin City Council elections
Regarding the unlikelihood of the allocations to Sophie Barker
It seems that the election is not over.
As per my post yesterday I found the fact that 5 out of the 9 allocations to Sophie Barker ended in zero to be an ‘anomaly’. The first of these is from progress to preliminary count and then the other four are from preferences of the voters allocated when other candidates dropped out. As you can see her total allocations also ends in a zero. You will also note that none of the other candidates allocations ending in zero numbered more than one which is exactly how you would expect it to be, there being 10 possibilities each time.
The allocations ending in zero are highlighted in orange.
The chances of that happening are here i.e.
….So out of a total possible 10^9 outcomes, 8,909,200 will have 5 or more matching digits. That’s a probability of 0.0089092.
In other words less than a 1% possibility. I have therefore sent the following to the Electoral Officer Anthony Morton.
Hi Anthony,
as you are the electoral officer for the Dunedin Council elections I am…
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